Labor Market Surprises, But the Split Screen Widens
May came in at 172,000 jobs added — nearly double what economists expected. And the instinct is to read that as: labor market is strong, competition is back, costs are going up. But that's not the whole picture. Because when you look at where those jobs landed — Leisure & Hospitality at nearly 5x its 12-month average, local Government rebuilding administrative capacity, Healthcare continuing its steady climb — what you're really seeing is a market that's strong in very specific pockets. And then look at the other side of the ledger. Financial Activities shed 22,000 jobs in May and is down 107,000 since its peak a year ago. Manufacturing of nondurable goods lost another 10,000. Private education services dropped 7,000.
